ANALYSIS · 2017–2025

The Most Overrated Leg in Football

Harrison Butker is paid and praised like the best kicker in football. Strip out the short attempts and the Mahomes offense, and he ranks as meh as they come.

THE MAHOMES DISCOUNT

The offense picks the distance.

Kickers don't choose their attempts; offenses do. Butker's offense is one that parks the ball in chip-shot range. His average attempt is among the shortest in the league, with more kicks from under 30 and fewer from 40–49, the range where kickers actually separate.

That isn't his fault. But it isn't his résumé either.

ButkerLeagueUnder 3025.4%22.6%30–3931.7%28.2%40–4924.3%29.8%50+18.7%19.4%
Where the attempts come from: share of FGA by distance · Table 3
THE CONTRACT

Paid like the best. Hasn't ranked like it.

In August 2024 the Chiefs gave Butker a four-year extension, and by 2026 his cap hit is the biggest of any kicker on Over the Cap's list. Line it up next to where he actually ranked in field goals over expected and the price starts to look like it's paying for the reputation.

THE DAMAGE REPORT

Every miss, with receipts.

Fifty-four games with at least one Butker miss. Add the missed points back, change nothing else, and here's the bill: four losses where the missed points matched or beat the margin of defeat, one of them a playoff exit. Five games dragged into overtime. Ten wins that stayed one-score games longer than they had to.

  1. 2017 Wild Card · vs TEN PLAYOFFS

    KC 21 – TEN 22

    • MISS FG 48 yds · Q3

    Missed points > margin of defeatHigh stakes

    A 48-yard miss in the 3rd quarter of a Wild Card game. The missed points exceeded the margin of defeat, and the season ended there.

  2. 2019 Week 10 · at TEN

    KC 32 – TEN 35

    • MISS PAT · Q3
    • MISS FG 52 yds · Q4 (blocked)

    Missed points > margin of defeat

    A missed PAT in the 3rd and a blocked 52-yarder in the 4th (credit the line with an assist on that one). The missed points exceeded the margin of defeat.

  3. 2022 Week 13 · at CIN

    KC 24 – CIN 27

    • MISS FG 55 yds · Q4

    Missed points = margin of defeat

    A 55-yard miss in the 4th at 24–27. The missed points equaled the margin of defeat.

  4. 2025 Week 2 · vs PHI

    KC 17 – PHI 20

    • MISS FG 58 yds · Q1

    Missed points = margin of defeat

    A 58-yard miss in the 1st quarter. The missed points equaled the margin of defeat, with most of the game still to play.

  5. 2018 Week 14 · vs BAL

    KC 27 – BAL 24

    • MISS FG 51 yds · Q2
    • MISS FG 43 yds · Q4

    Forced OT

    Missed from 51 and from 43, the second with the game tied in the 4th. It went to overtime, where he hit the 35-yarder that won it.

  6. 2020 Week 2 · at LAC

    KC 23 – LAC 20

    • MISS PAT · Q2 (blocked)

    Forced OT

    A blocked PAT in the 2nd, and the game went to overtime, where he drilled a 58-yarder to win it. Credit where due.

  7. 2021 Divisional · vs BUF PLAYOFFS

    KC 42 – BUF 36

    • MISS FG 50 yds · Q2
    • MISS PAT · Q3

    Forced OTHigh stakes

    Missed from 50 and a PAT, then made a 49-yarder in the 4th to force overtime. Won in OT. The miss and the make, same night.

  8. 2022 Week 9 · vs TEN

    KC 20 – TEN 17

    • MISS PAT · Q2
    • MISS FG 47 yds · Q3

    Forced OT

    A missed PAT and a missed 47-yarder, and it was tied after regulation. He hit a 28-yarder in OT to win it.

  9. 2022 Week 15 · at HOU

    KC 30 – HOU 24

    • MISS PAT · Q2
    • MISS FG 51 yds · Q4

    Forced OT

    A missed PAT in the 2nd and a 51-yard miss at 24–24 in the 4th. Overtime. Won anyway.

  10. 2017 Week 15 · vs LAC

    KC 30 – LAC 13

    • MISS FG 52 yds · Q2

    Made it closer than needed

    A 52-yard miss in the 2nd. In the 4th the lead was one score when the missed points would have made it two. Won anyway.

  11. 2019 Week 3 · vs BAL

    KC 33 – BAL 28

    • MISS PAT · Q2

    Made it closer than needed

    One missed extra point. The 4th-quarter lead stayed one score when it didn't have to. Won.

  12. 2020 Week 3 · at BAL

    KC 34 – BAL 20

    • MISS PAT · Q1
    • MISS FG 42 yds · Q2

    Made it closer than needed

    A missed PAT and a missed 42-yarder in the first half. The 4th-quarter lead was one score when it could have been two. Won.

  13. 2020 Week 9 · vs CAR

    KC 33 – CAR 31

    • MISS FG 48 yds · Q3
    • MISS PAT · Q4

    Made it closer than needed

    Missed from 48 in the 3rd and a PAT in the 4th, and the Panthers hung around within one score. Won.

  14. 2020 Divisional · vs CLE PLAYOFFS

    KC 22 – CLE 17

    • MISS PAT · Q1
    • MISS FG 33 yds · Q3

    Made it closer than neededHigh stakes

    A missed PAT and a missed 33-yarder in a playoff game that stayed one score in the 4th. Won and advanced.

  15. 2022 Week 7 · at SF

    KC 44 – SF 23

    • MISS FG 39 yds · Q2

    Made it closer than needed

    A 39-yard miss in the 2nd. The Chiefs won going away, but the lead was one score in the 4th when the missed points would have made it two, so the tag technically applies. Technically.

  16. 2022 Super Bowl · vs PHI PLAYOFFS

    KC 38 – PHI 35

    • MISS FG 42 yds · Q1

    Made it closer than neededHigh stakes

    A 42-yard miss in the 1st quarter of the Super Bowl, and the 4th quarter stayed one score. Then he made the 27-yarder at 35–35 that won it.

  17. 2024 Week 3 · at ATL

    KC 22 – ATL 17

    • MISS PAT · Q3

    Made it closer than needed

    One missed extra point in the 3rd, and the Falcons stayed within one score. Won.

  18. 2024 Week 4 · at LAC

    KC 17 – LAC 10

    • MISS FG 65 yds · Q2

    Made it closer than needed

    A 65-yard miss in the 2nd. Nobody makes a living from 65. Won anyway.

  19. 2025 Week 3 · at NYG

    KC 22 – NYG 9

    • MISS FG 40 yds · Q2
    • MISS PAT · Q4

    Made it closer than needed

    A missed 40-yarder in the 2nd and a missed PAT from 48 yards in the 4th, and the Giants stayed within one score. Won.

“Missed points” is simple math; real games don't play out that way. Full ledger and method →

2026 BUTKER WATCH

This season, so far

FG5/6
XP7/7
MISSES1
  1. MISS Week 2 vs IND: FG from 51 Forced OTA 51-yard miss, the game tied after regulation, and a win in overtime. The Chiefs survived; the reputation got a little dent.

Updated 2026-09-21

Short kicks. Professional coattail rider. Top-of-market paycheck (literally).

See the receipts →